For Labour and the Lib Dems parties which also supported the legislation and oppose Westminsters intervention the figures are 13 per cent and 14 per cent respectively., The Times poll, conducted by Panelbase, reported on 11 Feb 2023. Exclusive: Scottish Labour blasted the Scottish Government for their inaction in trying to get rid of dangerous Grenfell-styling cladding on buildings across the country. SNP depute leader Keith Brown said in September 2019 that it was "a deliberate bid to confuse independence with Brexit". In doing so the Lib Dems would defeat both the deputy prime minister, Dominic Raab, and the Chancellor, Jeremy Hunt. Poll tracker: how will the SNP fare in Scotland's May elections? Last updated Nov 16, 2022 View all Trackers (4) Support for creation of a new English Parliament along the lines of the existing Scottish Parliament politics Surveys Data collected from extensive surveys and snap polls about or relating to Scottish independence. We haven't published any articles, trackers or survey results about Scottish independence. YouGov found . Some organisations have chosen to commission polls that adopt the remain / leave formulation that was used in the 2016 United Kingdom European Union membership referendum. Scottish independence polls & surveys | YouGov Does Douglas Alexanders comeback herald the return of Labours Blairites? Which party will you vote for? The YouGov survey for the Sunday Times of 1,088 Scottish voters shows support for the party dropped from 50 per cent to 44 per cent in the Holyrood constituency vote and from 40 per cent to 36. The Yes side grew further, in the aftermath of the 2016 Brexit referendum, in which Scotland voted to remain in the EU. The latest Panelbase survey. All Rights Reserved. The pollster found Labour on 50 per cent of the vote an increase of three points from their last poll. Please click 'Create Account and Subscribe' to create a new account and subscribe to our email alerts. The government is becoming increasingly authoritarian and our media is run by a handful of billionaires, most of whom reside overseas and all of them have strong political allegiances and financial motivations. The figures show the Conservatives on 25% of the vote (+1 from our previous survey on 1-2 November) to Labour's 48% (-2). Labour would be nipping at their heels with 22 Scottish MPs, up from just one currently. The leader of the SNP has insisted her party was "not divided". . Humza Yousaf 'should be anti-nationalist choice' for First Minister - because he's so useless, The Majority reckons the health secretary will create a 'raging bin fire' for the SNP if he gets the keys to Bute House when the party votes on a new leader, Prince Harry and Meghan Markle 'OK' about leaving Frogmore Cottage following Buckingham Palace's eviction, The couple are said to have accepted that they were privileged to have a house in the US and the UK, Rangers XI v Kilmarnock as Michael Beale starts Nicolas Raskin and Todd Cantwell after Celtic final defeat, New January recruits return to the first team after their shock Hampden omission, Manchester United hero Nicky Butt 'hated' Aberdeen interview process as he admits 'sick' feeling of manager talks, The Old Trafford Class of 92' hero spoke to several suitors including Aberdeen in 2021, SNP blasted for 'dragging their heels' over dangerous cladding programme as they spend less than 1m of 97m funding pot. At the heart of our company is a global online community, where millions of people and thousands of political, cultural and commercial organizations engage in a continuous conversation about their beliefs, behaviours and brands. The Tories would be on seven MPs up one despite all the turmoil of the past 12 months with the Lib Dems also up one on five, according to the seat predictor from Electoral Calculus. Prince Harry's popularity in the UK has decreased by 35 percentage points over the past four years, a new survey by IPSOS has found. The table also lists some events that may have impacted on polling returns, including the 2016 United Kingdom European Union membership referendum, the Covid pandemic in Scotland and party leadership changes. If you can, please show your appreciation for our free content by donating whatever you think is fair to help keep TLE growing and support real, independent, investigative journalism. This compares with the position in the 2014 Independence referendum, when 55.3% of Scottish voters opposed plans for an Independent Scotland, with 44.7% voting in favour. Click here to sign-in and subscribe via a link sent to your email. Most of the pollsters listed were members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abided by its disclosure rules.. Nicola Sturgeon Expected To Resign As Scottish First Minister Today But Why? A new poll published by YouGov Tuesday shows that Sunak would lose to any of his three remaining rivals among Tory members in a final two-way round of votes. All Rights Reserved. Following Margaret Thatchers departure from Downing Street, support for Scottish independence fell back slightly and was polling around 30% in the middle of the 1990s. With the Russian invasion of Ukraine heavily dominating the UK news agenda, the position of the UKs political parties became somewhat becalmed during the spring on 2022 with no notable movements in the polls. And while 33 per cent said the UK Government was wrong to have blocked the bill, 50 per cent said it was right or within its rights to do so. Latest YouGov poll suggests many voters in Scotland have dismissed warnings about the economic impacts of a yes vote YouGov's opinion poll for the Sunday Times suggests the yes. In terms of specific adjustments then made to this analysis, Politics.co.uk has assumed that the Green MP Caroline Lucas would continue to hold her safe seat in Brighton Pavilion, and that Sir Lindsay Hoyle would be returned as Speaker for his constituency of Chorley. Following a lull in political activity over Christmas 2021, the Conservatives appeared to be recovering in early 2022, clawing back approximately half of the poll losses that they had seen before the festive period. Keir Starmer's lead over Rishi Sunak has increased to 7 pointsin terms of the party leader Britons think would make the best prime minister, by 34% (+2) to 27% (-1). The dates for these opinion polls range from the 2014 Scottish independence referendum to the present day. To donate or subscribe to The London Economic, click here. A YouGov poll published this morning (2 March) makes encouraging reading for the Prime Minister. State of the Nation. !function(){"use strict";window.addEventListener("message",(function(e){if(void 0!==e.data["datawrapper-height"]){var t=document.querySelectorAll("iframe");for(var a in e.data["datawrapper-height"])for(var r=0;rScottish independence poll shows support cooling as referendum draws The tide may be turning on Nicola Sturgeon and the Nats as a YouGov poll suggests the party could lose 23 seats while another UK survey suggests a collapse to just TEN MPs at the next General Election. Further details of the latest voting intentions in relation to a Scottish independence referendum can be seen in the most recent individual polls: Yougov (January 26) which placed the Yes side on 46.5% and the No side on 53.5%, post adjusting for undecided voters. Business & professional services. Support for Scottish independence has grown steadily over the last forty five years. Voters head to polls across Scotland, Wales and England for devolved In all polls the dont knows are removed. Redfield and Wilton (26 February) which placed Labour on 51%, the Conservatives on 24%, and the Liberal Democrts on 9%. We also may change the frequency you receive our emails from us in order to keep you up to date and give you the best relevant information possible. Champion Newspapers Limited 20:21 22-Feb-23. Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "On a scale of 0 to 10 where 0 means 'I completely support Scotland becoming independent' and 10 means 'I completely support Scotland staying part of the UK' what number would you consider yourself to be?". 23% 22 Feb: PeoplePolling: GB News UK However, it follows two other polls published in the last 48-hours that have put Labour well ahead of the Tories. Poll reveals impact of Nicola Sturgeon's resignation on voting and independence. Jeremy Corbyn is not allowed to stand as a Labour MP at the next election would he still get your vote? Scotlands political landscape after Nicola Sturgeon? However support for Scottish independence grew significantly during the 1980s, particularly as Margaret Thatchers tenure in office continued. Charities & not-for-profit. Stay informed. Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "On a scale of 0 to 10 where 0 means 'I completely support Scotland staying part of the UK' and 10 means 'I completely support Scotland becoming independent' what number would you consider yourself to be?". By clicking 'Sign in and Subscribe' you agree to us subscribing you to our newsletter in accordance with our Privacy Policy and Legal Notice.Emails, which may be sent daily or less frequently, may include marketing elements. Polling for the Welsh parliament election is less extensive than what is available in Scotland. With plans for the establishment of a Scottish parliament in Holyrood by the Blair government in the late 1990s, support for Scottish independence rose once again. The latest voting intention survey puts Labour a whopping 28 points ahead of the Tories, with Rishi Sunak's party flirting with sub-20 numbers in what would be a historic low. Only 44 per cent of those most likely to back the SNP said the same. Indeed by the time that the Scot, Gordon Brown, became prime minister in 2007, support for Scottish independence had fallen back to 24%, its lowest level for over two decades. Support for the SNP, for Nicola Sturgeon and for Scottish independence has fallen sharply as the partys crisis over transgender rights deepens. With the Conservatives polling over 50%, this lead briefly surpassed 20% at the beginning of the Covid pandemic in March and April 2020. This means that we may include adverts from us and third parties based on our knowledge of you. As a smaller poll, the margin of error on the major categories is approximately 4.4 percentage points, compared to 3 for typical polls of 1000 respondents. Voting intention in the United Kingdom 2017-2023. Between January 2015 and December 2022 over 230 polls have been published and recorded in the main table. Again, the Scottish sample is even small (103 out of 993 once don't knows are removed) but the survey puts Labour in the lead north of the Border on 40 per cent of the vote. on public opinion. YouGov: The Times: GB 2,003 23% 46%: 9% 4% 7% 8% 3%. The exclusive poll, by Savanta ComRes for The Scotsman, has support for Yes at its lowest level since just before the 2019 general election, which saw Boris Johnson's Conservative party earn an . In the midst of the coronavirus pandemic, one in which the Scottish government took responsibility for the handling of the virus in Scotland, there were signs of sustained backing for Scottish independence for the first time. Inside Labour's battle to retake Scotland as party warned not to 'count chickens too soon', Public mental health is the true measure of political success. Britain Elects (@BritainElects) / Twitter This Conservative poll lead coincided with the unusual event of a governing party winning a seat from the Opposition, as occurred in the May 2021 Hartlepool by-election. The voting intention was not weighted by likelihood to vote. By clicking 'Create Account and Subscribe' you agree to us creating an account for you and subscribing you to our newsletter in accordance with our Privacy Policy and Legal Notice.Emails, which may be sent daily or less frequently, may include marketing elements. As a smaller poll, the margin of error on the major categories is approximately 4.2 percentage points, compared to 3 for typical polls of 1000 respondents. This is the same constant level of dont knows that has been seen in most polls over the last 5 years. At the heart of our company is a global online community, where millions of people and thousands of political, cultural and commercial organizations engage in a continuous conversation about their beliefs, behaviours and brands. Respondents giving answers between 0 to 4 and 6 to 10 have been mapped to No and Yes here respectively, while respondents giving 5 or "don't know" as answer have been assigned as undecided. Subscribe to our email alert of the day's top stories from the UK and around the world. UK PM Johnson's Conservatives see support slump to lowest since Two new polls suggest near-wipeout for the SNP as Labour's Scottish Once again the responses vary with exactly how the question is asked. The latest YouGov/Times vote intention poll shows the Labour party on 54% of the vote, up nine points on their previous record high with YouGov on Monday. Consumer packaged goods (CPG) Eating & drinking. Fewer than three in ten (29 per cent) respondents said they supported the [Gender Recognition Reform] bill, but more than half (54 per cent) said they opposed it. Excluding those who declare themselves to be undecided (currently around 6% of the electorate), polling averages from February 2023 places the Yes side at 47.1% and the No side at 52.9%. Poll suggests Conservatives could be in danger of losing more than a /Which party are you most inclined to support? Copyright 2023 YouGov PLC. Use at least 8 characters, an uppercase and a lowercase letter, and a number or symbol. YouGov said that among those who voted Conservative in 2019 but now say they plan to vote Labour, Sunak's net favourability score, the percentage who have a 'favourable' opinion minus the . The latest monthly polling averages on Scottish independence show No campaigners to have consolidated their lead in the polls once again. It found that the yes vote was ahead in only one age group, amongst 25-to-39-year-olds, while in all others no. However, coinciding with the roll out of the coronavirus vaccine and the conclusion of Boris Johnsons Brexit deal at the end of 2020, the Conservative party once again opened up a significant election poll lead over Labour. Opinion polling on Scottish independence is continually being carried out by various organisations to gauge public attitudes to independence. In terms of translating these election poll findings into a projected make up of the current House of Commons, Politics.co.uk has used the Butler method to calculate the current swing between the parties compared to the 2019 General Election. In February 2023, 47 percent of British adults would vote for the Labour Party in a . On moral issues, do we really want to take the American way? In the run-up to the next Scottish Parliament election, various organisations are conducting opinion polls to gauge voting intentions.Results of such polls are displayed in this list. Please check you have typed it correctly. King Charles III retains popular support in Wales, new poll shows, but Analysis pieces written by YouGovs data journalists based on data collected about or relating to Voting Intention. Rishi Sunak fails to win back Conservative support in Wales, poll In the aftermath of the 2019 General Election, the Conservative party enjoyed a healthy lead in the opinion polls. In 1997, the Yes side surpassed 40% in the polls for the first time. Britain Elects. Former Conservative party chairman: Sue Gray appointment proves Starmer is man of the establishment. The end of 2021, showed how quickly politics can change. A YouGov poll shows 56% of Scots support the . Under the current polling, Labour is on course to win seats in parts of the country where it has always been a distant spectator, such as both Bournemouth constituencies in Dorset, Macclesfield in Cheshire, Aylesbury in Buckingham, Southend East in Essex, Weston Super Mare, and Bromley and Chiselhurst in south east London.