Sample / ConfidenceIf advanced info is selected you can filter out stats with either low sample sizes or low statistical relevance. bounce factor, which really does exist. Not taking odds and favoritism into account as a quick over-all stat class droppers win almost three times as many races as class risers! Unlike horses that werent claimed last out, good form is not necessarily a positive for runners sporting a new owner. 8 (fts = first time starter / SH = starter handicap / Oc = optional claimer / Alw = allowance). Its a great question. Travellers, In Form Trainer In claiming races, it's quite simple to determine if a horse is going up or down in class. Lst speed where it can lay close to the pace (within three lengths at the first call). Minimum of 10 runs to qualify. Movers, 1st Time As a whole, horses that were claimed in their last race, performed as follows: Number: 16,671 Winners: 2,777 Win Rate: 16.7% $2 Return (ROI): $1.59 (-20.57%). Take action today, and your horse handicapping, and horse racing betting will make a huge leap into the profit zone. In other words, at some tracks - moving around in a group of class levels can be relatively easy while at other tracks jumping up from one of these same levels to the next higher might be very tough. . We are a team of passionate racing enthusiasts and IT experts with a belief that studying horse racing form is too hard and time consuming for most people. Horse Body Language: How To Read It And Understand It - Equus Magazine That was declared to be a poorer Derby than of recent years but it was still a Class A declared event. Say you're looking at a $30K open claiming race: It might include a last-out maiden special winner, or a runner from an optional claimer, a restricted claimer, a starter handicap, an allowance race - or, God forbid, all of the above! Maidens typically improve in its second life time start. The desire to run and compete is inherent but it is not always enough. Just because they have an idea of the type of class of race it doesn't mean for a moment that is what they are going to get. IVE STUDIED OVER >>500 OF THESE TYPES RACES,,,,,, Today, many trainers with clout have no trouble running a horse for less than it is worth or, perhaps more accurately put, less than what the owner thinks it is worth. Read more about Sample Size and Confidence Figures. Stats, Tipping Hall of In this instance an 'x' is listed next to the item worn. Zozos will be their first Kentucky Derby entry after . 4. ]]IN THE LAST RACE ARE CLOSER TO THE WINNER THEN THE 2CD LAST RACE BACKITS A CONTENDER . Copyright 2023 British Racecourses - britishracecourses.org is intended for the sole use of the individuals over 18 years of age. Changers, Distance Claiming races works similar to the allowances except the owner must sell the horse in claiming races for the price entered at and these class varies in two ways: 1st; the lower the claiming price the lower the class these horses will usually run against, and 2; the N/W 1, N/W 2, N/W 3, etc are the lowest to the best in each claiming level . There are literally thousands of horses that race each day in America and abroad. Trainer Suspicious class drops [Archive] - Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage Pretty successful over the past , Bad Winter Forces Ortiz Brothers to Gulfstream, Jockeying for Position: Prat, Rispoli Heading to New York, Eddie Macs Book: A Pick 3 Wager Singling Classic Causeway in Tampa Bay Derby, Tampa Bay Derby: Classic Causeway The One To Beat, Run to the Roses: Forbidden Kingdom No. It just goes to show that there are More Racing StatsFlatStats has dozens of stats for you to view such as stats for first time geldings, change of trainer, sires on soft ground and much more. Bovada is our favorite pick for USA Bettors! ineffective conditioner. However, how do we know when that situation By developing products like BetTurtle, our goal is to make horse racing more rewarding for our customers. Any horse that drops suspiciously in Breaking news, expert analysis and handicapping reports to help you win at the track. If they are good players, perhaps they make it to a college team. Here are the filters * we use that help us find the list of horses that on average will provide 80% of the winners each day.. Horse Race Results Prediction Guide & Cards | Proform Racing View stats tables for today's horse racing meetings at Lingfield and Wolverhampton. Class Changers. It has managed to finish second and third a number of times but cannot seem to manage a win. For example, we decide to throw a party and decide to invite all the Class `A` (female, of course) celebs and we have a cracking time as there`s just us hosting the bash but only Michelle Pfeiffer turns up along with Catherine Zeta-Jones. either of its last two races is a vulnerable favorite. Reading The Ratings Tips for Evaluating Maidens Dropping in Class Stats InfoThe stats on this page can be shown in basic or advanced mode. The times to play these horses are when the odds are acceptable to offset the risk Horse Handicapping | Horse Racing Handicapping, (by the simple definition given earlier) =. And look at what happens when those same horses compete . The higher the number, the stronger the race. A $32K claimer might be little different than a $25K claimer for instance - while at another track the difference in the "class" of these levels might be significant. 33.33%. 03-09-2013, 02:24 PM. Course Stats, Latest She finished seventh, beaten by 13 lengths. The Digests RCL is an initialism for Race Competition Level, which is simply a number assigned to a certain type of race that represents its position relative to other races. All information provided by this Elevated. Suspicious Drop in Class today Days But, like I said, I dont have any statistical evidence that its worthwhile. The new numbers classification is less informative as it only has 7 classes. Class Changers. The search page will return all matches from our racing database (trainers, jockeys, sires), postings in our forum, and racing articles in our blog, Enter your FlatStats Subscriber details in order to access the site. Results, Course So, from this we can go to another `A` event and then say whether this particular event was better, poorer or the same as another `A` event. Required fields are marked *. For the most part, each class receives a number that remains constant. Figures from flat turf and all weather. In horse racing these skill levels are known as class. CSV Fields, The Differentials If you wish to comment or add to this page then please drop us a line at: Stats, All Green this level. determine if a favorite is vulnerable. Allowing for the draw bias, visualise the running of the race. must be 5/8 or more. Read through all the free materials on this site - then check out: our products . BIGGEST PAYOFFS I CAN REMEMBER OFFHAND WAS TOP PICK? NO 7 @TAMPA BAY DOWNS IN THE LAST RACE IN FEB.2011 OR 2010. Lacking a Good Activity Pattern Favourite Stats, Jockey National Hunt Stl% IT PAID $96.00 AND ANOTHER I REMEMBER FOR $76.00 BUT THE AVERAGE IS Should You Drop A Class? Does It Look Bad? Why? - PrepScholar someplace i long for a 6 or 8 for w.o. strictly prohibited. Figures from flat turf and all weather. Class droppers won 11 of those, or 61% of them. considerable variables involved when trying to decide the outcome of a horse race. It could mean that the horse is no longer suitable for racing and its trainer wishes to unload it on some unsuspecting buyer. For Latest News Visit Our Facebook . The statistics on class-droppers are surprising, and show just how important this factor can be . A good rule of thumb is to assign a preliminary class rating of half the value of the horses sole win. 8. Never take a short price on an There have been numerous good horse handicapping writers that have proposed various theories and ideas on this question. Needless to say, there is not a consensus on the subject. What is class? And how to tell if a horse is rising/dropping? Some of the information is not stat based but shows essential information such as horses dropping in class, or changes in trainer. If a horse that has been competing in higher valued races drops to this level, use caution. Throw in a Trainer, Course Stats By Ideally you should always use the strong, or at the very least the medium setting but setting these filters will greatly reduce the stats that are displayed on the page. Only horses with at least 5 runs included. Easy to grasp the concept, but so obvious that it is often overlooked, or under-valued in relation to other more esoteric factors to be considered in a race. Todays Racing Digest race sheets makes handicapping class easy by using a simple number system assigned to a certain type of race that represents its position relative to other races. Ill comment by saying that it is astounding that you can still get good prices on droppers. Differentials Impact Read reviews by other subscribers or leave your own review on. m/f Stats, Longest race. Join today and instantly access our racing info including: Backing and Laying System Builders Unlimited Stats Unique Horse Racing Ratings, All for just 35 a month or see special offers, Lingfield1:20 1:56 2:31 3:06 3:41 4:16 4:51 Wolverhampton5:30 6:00 6:30 7:00 7:30 8:00 8:30. Got any racing systems or stats questions?Email: q198 = 'frank';n278 = 'flatstats.co.uk';document.write('');document.write(q198 + '@' + n278 + ''); Enter a word or phrase in the box to search the whole FlatStats site. Results. For that reason, many punters like to bet on horses who have dropped in class. Horse Racing Stats for 3rd Mar 2023 - All Meetings - FlatStats Should a horse fail on any of these rules (even one of them) Cards, Search FlatStats subscribers can save the settings so that the same parameters are used each time the page page is viewed. Figures from flat turf and all weather. This website assumes no responsibility for the actions by and makes no out of that horse and cant recover in 30 days or less. If a horse is dramatically dropping in class either of its last two races is a vulnerable favorite. The best of the best wind up in the National Football League. Figures from flat turf and all weather. d) Has not raced in 30 days but has at least three drills in the last 20 days. Fearless Knight: Sunshine Coast Race 4: $1,970,000: 6,567%: 1. Today : Tomorrow: DATE COURSE TIME NO. Favourite Stats, BetTurtle Jockey View the daily list of Horse Racing Grade Droppers. Since the Grade I race is five points higher than a Grade II race, the Grade I race is considered to be one class level stronger than a Grade II race. I USE THE MOST MONEY WON [LIFETIME] AS MY BET ON TOP IF MORE THAN ONE CONTENDER OF THIS TYPE. UK Horse Racing :: The Ratings Arrived at your site by accident and found it one of the most informative and interesting racing sites, well done. Now of course, there are almost always more than one class dropper in a race, so this factor wont just give you the winner, but it will sure help you to focus on the most likely contenders in these claiming type races. Stats for combination runs on this code only. Now, the party`s classification was dropped but the same people turned up. Take a peek at the digits on horses that finished in the money (third or better) and were claimed in their last race: Number: 10,350. Favourite Stats, BetTurtle Jockey Healthy horses work out and race. A horse with this type of "form" should clearly be stepped up in class, or at an absolute minimum, kept at the same level. W-R figures obtained from flat turf and all weather runs. Handicapping class levels in horse racing can be difficult for many horse players. 2nd race off a Layoff If EZ Horse Betting is your preferred approach, there are a few ways you can approach handicapping class. representation or endorsement of any activities offered by any reviewed racebook or ADW. We don't use the BHB classifications as this is nothing but a wish on behalf of the BHB on they would want the line-up of the race to be. Therefore, horses in a $10,000 claiming race can be bought by anyone with an owners license and $10,000. Spd Simply put, good trainers win races, bad ones dont. If you're handicapping for "price horses" - class droppers should be given extra consideration. fail in any one area, toss them out. The two races are of completely different classes. For instance, a Grade I Stakes race for older males is always a 210, a $32,000 claimer for older fillies and mares is always 140. Runners, One Runner Today : Tomorrow: DATE COURSE TIME NO. type of race generally puts an emphasis on late speed in a race. Knowing about Street Shark's performance exiting the July 23 race, I could not possibly understand why the horse that beat him was suddenly be dropped in class. Take a peek at the digits on horses that finished in the money (third or better) and were claimed in their last race: Number: 10,350 Winners: 1,815 Win Rate: 17.5% $2 Return (ROI): $1.51 (-24.53%). My question is simple.Does Flatstats display the number of wins each trainer has achieved at every course in UK together with percentage wins at each course.? SP, 1999-2019 UK Horse Racing Betting Gods might be something worth checking out, 2013 - 2023 EzHorseBetting.com. Many shrewd betting experts study the trainers and horses covering the longest distance to the racecourse today. Second Time Head Gear applies to the exact item being worn today. types of races) 80% of the time. 9 Jump They have had sufficient time to prove their ability. Interestingly, Bella was claimed in this race as well and, on Nov. 15, 2016, competed in a $10,000 claiming affair for a $30,000 purse. If not, you can probably skip this one :-) However, it is about emotions and over-arousal . BetTurtle - Horses Dropping In Class Below areraces fromthis past Sunday, July 22. If they plan two races of two similar classes both for horses raced 70-120, say, and in one race horses with the Official Rating of 70 turn up and in the other only horses rated 120 start, would it be fair to say that these two races are of the same class? Being able to correctly assess a horses class will help you determine if it has been entered in a race where it can be competitive. ; Click the Horse filter button. Guest are limited to viewing 3 items per table. w/r/c This gives you a little margin for error because all of the rivals beaten by the horse in its maiden win may not have been $20,000 horses. Helping Horses with Dropped Fetlocks - YouTube In this guide we look at horses who have been dropped in class, this means they are running against weaker horses than in their last race. The trainer decides that a class drop is in order and enters the horse in a $10,000 race. Heres an example. class drop is important lets not forget the age of the horse also i feel classdrop in horse 5yrs and under in males and gelding come pair to females is important just notice it males in c/d seem to put there heart into it notice 5yr old gelding nest time but as we all know what looks solid couse of action today dies tomorrow also time off between c/d is important to me unless horse is w.o. Using the horses form string determine which horses perform well given the conditions of today's race. Changers, Good Performers Last ALSO THERE WAS NO DATE RULE TO THIS SYSTEM SO YOU CAN MAYBE FACTOR THAN IN OR NOT. Can help identify horses that may improve. You can view stats such as trainer and jockey combinations, changes in trainer, penalty carriers, quick returners, class changers and much more. Value Maidens & Koulds Table ranked by win strike rate. So the question is when do you know when that favorite is going to win? Race Ratings, Race Title Any horse trying a new distance today sprint-to-route or vice versa is a risky This is another powerful tool which demonstrates how much a horse is rising or dropping in class from its last race. This applies to a horse that hasnt won in its last 10 races. Because we look at the participants and not the labelling. It would be good if you offered a free trial for people, even if it's just for a day so people can look around the full site and see what it has to offer. Stats, Trainer National Hunt What do you guys and gals do when you see this? The member asked. With so many different levels at different tracks its often challenging to determine if a horse is moving up in class or down in class in todays race and by how much. Ratings, Course Stats By Are there any easy-to-spot signs that make a suspicious drop in class following a claim, well, suspicious? Musselburgh 13:50. while false favorites do not. [[DOESNT SAY WHAT TO DO ON DISTANCE SWITCHES IN THOSE RACES? To easily determine if a horse has ever been competitive at todays current class level the Digest gives you the highest class level each horse has been proven effective (2-year -old races are not considered). Please confirm Stats, Tipping Hall of I've found that when horses drop down several classes in one fell swoop, more often than not, the drop down isn't big enough. Unsound ones with problems do not. As an example, a non-winners-of-two Allowance races for older males at Santa Anita would carry a class rating of 155. 347. given date. To refine and discover your own preferred betting angles, why not register an account today with one of our recommended horse betting sites. In this instance an 'x' is listed next to the item worn. The term "classy" is most often applied to horses who run winning races in the higher purse levels at the track, or circuit where they compete - but that doesn't really help. Ratings, Course Stats By Favourite Stats, Jockey All Weather You can also view tables for horses that have the highest earnings, that are changing in class and even a list of all horses carrying a penalty today. Horse This is extremely good handicapping information to have at I often have found class drop winners from trainers on the NYRA circuit moving into MCl or Never this Low for the first time. Stats for combination runs. 100.00%. I'll make a few generalized assumptions before showing you some recent figures . Period. The data in the table is a powerful resource which demonstrates how much a horse is rising or dropping in class from its last race. class droppers win almost three times as many races as class risers! No Recent Victories So, comes the night of the party and there`s us and, again, the only two which turn up are Michelle and Catherine. Login; Register; Help; HOME RACES Today's . away from the post-time favorite as much as possible. Change in class is based on the old race letter classification where there are 11 classes. Horses rarely win from the back of the pack. I hope, though, that the results will re-enforce in your mind one of the over-riding facts of handicapping and betting horse races: Horses dropping in class win far more than they should. The Digest does this by designating a number, anywhere from 75 to 210, to each race. To find out, I consulted my racing database and heres what I found. horse comes from the clouds, toss out. Today's Grade Droppers Biggest drop in prize money from last start Horse Name Race Details Drop in $ Drop in % 4. . Jockey Mini Horse Facts - Scott Creek Miniature Horse Farm The best way to bet a drop in class is to find horses that were 1st, 2nd, or 3rd in their most recent race at a higher level. The term is defined as: Click here to visit Ignition Casino! 4-1 TO 5-1. . Eclipse Sportswire. $2 Return (ROI): $1.51 ( -24.53%) Notice that the win rate stayed about the same, but the $2 net return actually decreased. View stats for trainer and jockey combinations, hot and cold trainers, horses changing in class and much more. You would not expect a high school team to perform well against a group of NFL veterans. Many angles (I.e.) With this simplified class rating system you will now clearly understand if a move up or drop in class for a horse in todays race is a big jump and how that compares to other horses in the field allowing you to you quickly and easily determine if the horse is a contender at todays race class level. Key, Past Winners 35 of them were won by class droppers (by the simple definition given earlier) = 54.7% 18 were won by horses staying at the same class level = 28.1% Only 7 were won by horses rising in class = 10.9% If they plan two races of two similar classes both for horses raced 70-120, say, and in one race horses with the Official Rating of 70 turn up and in the other only horses rated 120 start, would it be fair to say that these two races are of the same class? Only horses with at least 5 runs and at least 1 place included. Notice that the win rate stayed about the same, but the $2 net return actually decreased. To make it easier to compare races run at different tracks the RCL is based on the strength of the race and not necessarily just the class structure and conditions of the race. A horse that can only run a half-mile in :48 seconds is unlikely to ever beat a horse that can run the same distance in :44 seconds. the races where the favorite is going to get beat. You can make money from EZ Horse Betting with all sorts of angles. Suspicious Drop in Class today. ?--or is this available in november? Class drops are just one approach. As stated earlier, at some tracks there are - rather than distinct class levels - class groupings. Two of which Of course, the sample size is wholly insufficient, but the numbers mirror what Ive seen in other too-good-to-be-true scenarios: the win rate goes up, but the odds go down way down. How often does the 3rd fav win over all races flat and national hunt. b) Raced within 24 days and a work within eight days Nobody gives anything away at the racetrack. second-time starter, still a maiden. Winners: 1,815. Koulds Scoring Yet favorites do win races, generally Your email address will not be published. The favorite must have at least tactical Stats, Jockey National Hunt And look at what happens when those same horses compete for a purse less than half of what it was in their last race: Number: 122 Winners: 28 Win Rate: 23.0% $2 Return (ROI): $1.15 (-42.25%). he or she becomes a vulnerable favorite. No Speed The reality of the situation though is often puzzling. Jockey, Jockey All Weather We four have such a good time that we decide to do it again next month and to allow Class `B` celebs in as well. However, also consider this: If that horse was not good enough in a graded stakes, and the trainer took a class drop, there is a reason for it. Handicapped, Class Favourite Stats, Trainer National Hunt Runners, Shrewd Trainer Copyright 2023 US Racing, All Rights Reserved. thaskalos. Betting Class in Horse Racing 2022 - Ez Horse Betting Race Competition Level (RCL) for Past Performances.